txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
tjack16 said:
iBrad said:
Lots of crazy extrapolations from a single game. I especially like the talk of trends after game one of the season.
If last year the offense was really good the you'd be right.
But it's essentially the same offense we've seen for the last two seasons.
The trend goes back to the day after the Dodgers series last July
This team won 87 games last year. It probably wasn't quite that good with the 1 run luck of it all, but still a solid team.
The biggest difference, IMO, is we're going to get more of Alvarez, Paredes, Pena, and Correa. Those 4 played ~320 games last year. This year, with some health, they'll play 450-500. That alone should help the offense enough to go from mediocre to good.
We also need to stop messing around and play Pena. If he was able to play against the Space Cowboys a few days ago, then he should have been able to play yesterday. This all stems from the infield surplus. If it was Allen available to play SS and not Correa yesterday, then we would have seen Pena start. The team is willing to take it extra slow since we have a problem getting all our plays PT.
Our record last year was only as good as it was because our pitching was absolutely lights out for the first half of the season. When Framber and Hunter in particular came back to earth and started pitching like mortals, the wheels fell off because our offense was too anemic to keep up. I am not convinced our starting rotation got any better in the off season and with health issues swirling around Hader, the bullpen is looking very questionable as well. Meanwhile we made no changes at all to an offense that was too right handed last season and what we got yesterday was exactly what we saw last season. No offensive production from anybody besides the AAAA guy and a double from Walker that was immediately wasted. A quality start from Brown that was wasted by a lack of offense to support him.
I think 87 wins with no change to the offense and a weaker pitching rotation/bullpen is extremely optimistic unless we see some big changes happen soon. This is not a team built to fall 10 games back and then coming roaring back in the last two months to win the division.
(And yes, I hope this post gets bookmarked and thrown back in my face when we clinch the pennant with win #87 later this season)
The pitching was worse in the 2nd half. Brown was still good. Framber was bad. Imai & Burrows are going to be studs. I am confident the rotation will be better than it was, which was solid.
When was the last time we've had a questionable bullpen? The names keep changing, yet the results are good to great. If you exclude the fluke 2020 shortened season, the worst bullpen ERA by season was 2017. I think they deserve the benefit of the doubt. And I think Hader has a chance to come back and be just fine.
The offense left a little to be desired and the org failed to address the RHH problem. Big ole F on the offseason report card there. However, as I mentioned before, the availability of our best hitter should be improved in 2026. By default they should be a little better.
I think 87 wins is completely fair. That is why most win totals were 86.5. If you believed it was way off, then you should have bet the house on the under.