Detective Jake Peralta said:

---

OP is updated as we head into the final week of the regular season!

I ended up moving A&M up a spot to number seven. I'm biased, of course, but I think it's hard to argue anyone below the Ags as more deserving right now. That could, of course, change after this weekend.

SUMMARY: Despite losing the weekend series for the second consecutive week, A&M controls its own destiny when it comes to the national seed race. In fact, I even moved A&M up a spot to the number 7 national seed this week.

For a team to lose their spot, there has to be someone that rises up to take it. I just don't think that has happened yet. Kansas (swept by West Virginia at home) and Coastal Carolina (lost 2/3 to a bad Old Dominion team) were the big losers this week, opening the door for A&M to stay in top 8 position. A&M and Florida State were close for me, but ultimately I kept the Ags ahead due to the fact that they have two series wins better than the 'Noles' best one.

The goal is very simple for the Ags: win 2/3 vs Mississippi State this weekend and you earn the right to host postseason baseball at Olsen through the Super Regional round.

Texas A&M Snapshot:
37-12 (16-9, 2nd in SEC)
RPI: 10 (-2 from last week)
ELO: 8 (+1)
KPI: 9 (-1)
DSR: 7 (-2)
PEAR NET: 7 (-3)
SoS: 26 (-2)

Q1: 12-11
Q2: 2-0
Q3: 6-1
Q4: 17-0

Updated Seed List:


Potential A&M Path to Omaha:


Just win, baby!

---

Are the pod matchups here correct? I thought the 29-32 pod matched with NS 1-4. No?

That's what the color-coding is. Yellow 1's matched with yellow 2's, gray with gray, etc.

Ahh. Makes sense. But why not just put the boxes next to each other. I'm an idiot I guess.

Sounds like a plan!

speaking of West Virginia...

the Mountaineers are one of the few teams that do not have an SoS advantage over A&M

WVU overall SoS is #67

non-conference SoS is 204

Ags slide down to RPI #15 after Thursday's action

need a win Friday

Florida State has improved its resume quite a bit in the last 2 weeks

the top 8 seeds are easy for the committee right now

#1 thru #7 in the RPI + Georgia

and in the 9 thru 16 range...

Florida, Nebraska, Southern Miss, and West Virginia have all but locked in their spot

plus the A&M-State series winner

which leaves 3 hosts among:

Oregon State
Kansas
A&M-State series loser
Wake Forest -- bad Q1 record
Ole Miss -- (if they win series vs. Bama)
Oregon -- (if they win series vs. USC)

Ehh, respectfully I wouldn't say any of those four are "locks" or "all but locked up".

If the season ended after last night, sure. But teams 9-18ish in the RPI are going to do a lot of shuffling between now and Saturday night. Just one loss by Southern Miss, for example, to a bad Georgia Southern team would put them around 16 (currently 9th).

Miss St. may have already locked in a host spot with their win last night. They are at # 10 in RPI and even if they lose the next two, they won't fall much past # 11 or #12 at worst.

Florida State (38-15) making a push for the top 8

19-10 in the ACC now with 3 series wins over regional teams: Wake, Virginia, and Miami

strong RPI and SoS numbers

will need mercy for the bad sweep at Stanford

Nebraska, Southern Miss, and Florida take care of business and win their series

Wake Forest and Ole Miss also win to stay in the mix for final host spots

this is interesting in the RPI:

17. Oregon
18. Oregon State
19. Kansas
20. West Virginia

the Jayhawks officially won the BDF regular season title tonight, but West Virginia swept KU last weekend

Oregon cancelled 2 midweek games against 204 GCU ten days ago -- will the Ducks be penalized

there should be room for 1 or 2 of the four to host

Probably rhetorical but what happened is fairly explainable. It's because someone above tu lost... and the RPI point total of ranks 2-5 are really tight. Same with 9-15 as well.

Good reminder there is numeric value to the RPI then ranked get ranked in order
the delta between teams is not uniform