****SURVIVOR 49****

9,899 Views | 172 Replies | Last: 43 min ago by CharleyKerfeld
n_touch
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Well that makes mine easy:

Sophie
Steven
Sage
DoitBest
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S
Ok Charley, Mrs.B is still deciding between who she really likes vs who has the best strategy...promise to get the picks in soon....
DoitBest
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DoitBest
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S
Oops that was on me...
Mrs. Best is going with:
MC
Sage
Savannah
Kristina (gets brought to the end for having no strategy)

gravy97
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AG
I'm listed as only needing one replacement pick, but I've lost Jason and Nate, so I think I need to make two (unless Nate doesn't qualify as replaceable?)

Sophie
MC (if I need a second one)
texas_ute
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AG
Alex for my 1 replacement pick. Thanks!
CharleyKerfeld
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I've updated everyone's picks, and Gravy you were right, you needed 2.

I still need:

SZ
rwhitlock3
double aught

SZ is our current leader with 75 points. He's got 3 of his 4 left.
rwhitlock is at 52 points and needs to make 2 picks
double_aught needs to make 3.
rwhitlock3
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AG
I will take MC and Alex for my replacements! Thanks Charley!
CharleyKerfeld
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rwhitlock3 said:

I will take MC and Alex for my replacements! Thanks Charley!

You already have Alex in your 4.

Your originals are:

Matt
Nate
Sage
Alex
SZ
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AG
Just now catching up on last weeks episode. I'm glad to finally see Sophie getting some air time and winning the immunity challenge.

I'll add Sage as my new pick
rwhitlock3
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AG
Lol, my bad! I will do MC and Sophie Segreti then!
Quinn
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AG
Who do yall like to make Final Tribal and/or win based on the pre-merge game?
CharleyKerfeld
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Quinn said:

Who do yall like to make Final Tribal and/or win based on the pre-merge game?

I'd like to see Sophi or Alex win. I am impressed how they got whittled down and now have ridden the wave and are playing pretty smart. MC would be another favorite for me. Kristina finishing third with 0 votes seems like the can't miss bet of the season right now.

My gut tells me the rest of them really blew it by not targeting Rizzo or Savannah in the last vote. They were exceedingly comfortable in the first part of the individual part of the game and if you could have broken that up, you really could have turned the game into something completely different.

If Sophi stays with them, you could definitely see an upcoming tribal where Rizo plays his idol for himself and Sophi take MC's with the knowledge of power and gives it to Savannah, and then the 3 of them target someone else and flip the scrpt again. I would assume that would be Sophie since they wanted her out the first time around.

CharleyKerfeld
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The distribution table, missing only double-aught's repicks and including our 2 exhibition newcomers.

Savannah 12
MC 11
Alex 7
Sophie 6
Rizo 6
Sage 5
Steven 4
Sophi 3
Jawan 2
Kristina 1
Rudyjax
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AG
It's a pretty common thing for the tribe that get decimated for one or two of them to go far.

The others get "pissed" they're not playing the game so they make big moves.

Pretty sure several winners have come from decimated tribes like that the last being that red head lady.
Saxsoon
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AG
I think Alex, Savannah, MC are gonna be up there. I think Rizzo is gonna go out at 5
CharleyKerfeld
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Still need your picks, double-aught!

It is either a lovely serendipitous thing or a true sign of being a massive dork (or both) how much I enjoy sitting on the couch with a legal pad counting up the scores for a Survivor episode for this game.

Think we should expand it to 5 or 6 choices per person to eliminate so much overlap for 50?
double aught
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AG
Here are my picks! They will certainly lead me from the cellar to the heights of victory! (Or not)

  • Soph
  • Sage
  • Rizo
CharleyKerfeld
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OK, everybody is in. This season went from pretty formulaic to pretty Wild West over the last few episodes. Always nice to see it break loose.

If anyone wants to double-check their picks, here's a screenshot. The green highlighter means it was your original pick and eligible for the +0.5 bonus.



Longer preview clip of Savannah in desperation mode pretending to care about others.

DoitBest
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DoitBest
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S
Mrs. Better not happy with that vote either...
CharleyKerfeld
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Scorecard first observations later. These are the raw totals without everyone's bonuses.

Kristina finds the HII +3
Kristina is first out at the II Challenge -1

5 people win individual immunity:
Savannah +5
Soph +5
Alex +5
Steven +5
Kristina +5

The same 5 win the reward
Savannah +3
Soph +3
Alex +3
Steven +3
Kristina +3

Savannah also gets an advantage: +2

4 survive tribal council - not giving Savannah a point here because it was impossible for her to get voted out
Rizzo +1
Sophie +1
Jawan +1
Sage +1

MC goes home: -2
MC was on 10 out of 14 Pickem cards.

Totals by tribe member (raw)
Kristina: 10
Savannah: 10
Soph: 8
Steven: 8
Alex: 8
Rizzo: 1
Sophie: 1
Jawan: 1
Sage: 1
MC -2


PICKER OF THE NIGHT: DOUBLE AUGHT!
Dubs has been in the last the whole week, but more than doubled his previous total from 21 to 42.5 tonight and is now just 1/2 point away from getting out of the basement.
THATS HOW YOU DO IT ON SURVIVOR PICKEM!

New overall standings
SZ: 99
cwpaggie07: 98

HTownAg98: 84
Saxsoon: 80.5

DO Bettor: 69.5
Counterpoint: 68.5

texas_ute: 65
RudyJax: 64.5

rwhitlock3: 63.5
gravy97: 59.5

n_touch: 43
double aught: 42.5

Exhibition Standings Recap:
DoitBest getting his ass handed to him by his wife in week 1 of their head to head.

Mrs. Best: 19
DoitBest: 10


HTownAg98
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As much as I don't want this to happen because it hurts me , but I feel like Savannah earns -3 points for her meltdown.

"You have a breakdown about how unfair life is based on your race, gender, sexual orientation, anything political, or COVID-19: -3 points"
Rudyjax
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AG
Give Juwan 10 years and he's Dylan G from Severance.
Quinn
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AG
HTownAg98 said:

As much as I don't want this to happen because it hurts me , but I feel like Savannah earns -3 points for her meltdown.

"You have a breakdown about how unfair life is based on your race, gender, sexual orientation, anything political, or COVID-19: -3 points"



Disagree. Her breakdown was based on her hotness, not any of the items listed above. My wife and I were cracking up on her telling her hot girl sob story to the dorky guy.
theeyetest
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Really dislike Savannah and Rizzo. Savannah is a 6.5 but her smugness makes her a 4. Rizzo seems like a good dude but a total cornball.
rwhitlock3
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AG
Yeah, Savannah is really starting to annoy my wife and I. She had that whole sob story about being left out but then when the situation flips and she wins Immunity and gets to go to tribal she is so condescending about it...

That being said, she is a fun villain to root against so I hope she sticks around a little longer
CharleyKerfeld
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theeyetest said:

Really dislike Savannah and Rizzo. Savannah is a 6.5 but her smugness makes her a 4. Rizzo seems like a good dude but a total cornball.

13 - 0
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n_touch
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theeyetest said:

Really dislike Savannah and Rizzo. Savannah is a 6.5 but her smugness makes her a 4. Rizzo seems like a good dude but a total cornball.

Survivor island 12
CharleyKerfeld
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On the scoring, I watched Savannah's breakdown twice in a row and I agree, she was crying about a specific incident, not some indelible fact of life, so she avoided the point deficiency.

My notes from the show.

Soph reveals she's never "talked game" with Steven until right now, yikes.

I almost told DoitBest that his wife's pick of Kristina made no sense because she was never going to do anything; then she found an HII and was on Team Immunity for this episode, and how is the overall points leader with 29.

A few of you were spot on with your analysis of Sage. Now that Shannon is gone, she's immediately turned her focus on how terrible Savannah is.

Steven has become my spirit animal for "IDGAF" reactions as other people fake bare their souls to him. He did with Shannon a few episodes ago, now again with Savannah and her bullying story.

That said, I loved Savannah's heel turn when she got the II and got to go to the other beach, because she was in maximum GFY with everyone besides Rizo. She didn't even vote, she just walked around and made them all freak out.

At this point, Rizo seems like the odds-on favorite for me. He's playing much smarter than the rest of them, and the fact that he confidently didn't play his idol and was able to almost just sit back and let the rest of them self-destruct to where he got zero votes was utterly remarkable. And it started with just one misstep of MC declaring to Sophie that she would put a vote on Jawan. All she had to say was, "Hey, if he play the idol, I think it would be smart for one of us to put a vote on Jawan OR Sage, what do you think?" and it probably is Rizo going home. But once that game of telephone started, it was meltdown city.

Again, high praise for Jawan, who was the last guy standing in a challenge that almost always seems to favor women due to foot size.

theeyetest
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I just can't see how or why they let Rizo slip through the cracks when they pretty much knew he wasn't go to play his idol. All MC, or Sophie for that matter, had to do was keep their mouths shut about putting a vote on Jawan and Rizo is going home, followed probably by Savannah next week (even though she still has that extra vote, don't think it would matter).

CharleyKerfeld
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Listened to most of the podcast today - I fell asleep for some of it -

MC was the other alternate with Jason
She is not a lifetime fan, she didn't know anything about Survivor until watching an episode of Season 47 with friends and applied the next day.


A fan question for the podcast asked about how many people know that you're on Survivor - Jeff said usually just your immediate family and your boss if needed. He said that when you get to the final interviews that are all at a hotel in LA, if you purposely make contact with other people or try to figure out who the other contestants are, which is against the rules, not only are you disqualified from that season, but banned for life.

Someone else asked Jeff about how gross it was to take the hidden immunity idols from people at Tribal considering where they are being kept on the person's body. Jeremy is the former player on the podcast and he told Jeff, "I hope you washed your hands immediately after I gave you my HII."
 
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