Stock Markets

35,165,197 Views | 259002 Replies | Last: 41 min ago by Texaguser17
flashplayer
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Hard for me to make heads or tails of NFLX. If it started approaching $70 I would jump in the boat. It has taken some steep drawdowns in the past.
MrWonderful
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They still have $150m outstanding they can exercise on their last S-3. I expect more dilution, thinking about trimming or hedging a bit.
GeorgiAg
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MrWonderful said:

You still in RCAT? Have a batch of shares about to go long term, and thinking about taking some gains, as I think there will be more opportunities to re-enter, but the other part of me wants to just let it ride and see what happens.


Ugh. No. Sold at a profit but damm.
El_duderino
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I wouldn't catch a falling knife, you don't know how far down it goes.
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
Chef Elko
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I made some small buys in PATH here. Gap fill at $15. Hopefully stay above $15 or could track back down to $13, the 200 day and bottom of that box. Any of you seasoned traders want to give it a look?
PDEMDHC
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PDEMDHC said:

BBAI breakout above 6.50?

Just kidding bears took it down in an hour and then some.
ryanhnc10
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Looks decent to start a position to me. They have earnings next week though if you want to wait and see how that shakes out
GeorgiAg
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I made a profit on BBAI but then got back in and took a hit. Scared of it now.
El_duderino
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AMD with the triple outside bar on the weekly chart.
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
Heineken-Ashi
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Buying TLT. Stop below recent low. Target $97 - $102. Timeline = later this year and maybe into 2027. This is a position for cash that usually sits idle.
PDEMDHC
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Did a little research into BBAI as I was curious about any news today. Found this article about how they are voting to approve doubling common stock from 500 MM to 1 Billion shares next week. Wanted to pass that along.

They also had a $125 MM debt conversion.

https://ts2.tech/en/bigbear-ai-bbai-stock-rises-premarket-after-125-million-debt-conversion-with-a-key-share-vote-days-away/
El_duderino
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AVGO entering the squeeze. Sizing smaller as I'm entering before direction confirmation. Stop is lower Bollinger band.
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
Gaeilge
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valvemonkey91 said:

Need advice.

I'm a SMCI bag holder. 500 shares at around $65. Do I cut my losses or keep holding?


Just came across this.

Gaeilge
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Any of y'all ever dive into DUOL? Their chart has me interested as a picking the bottom play.
El_duderino
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Man I remember looking at it around $400 and then forgot about it. Down 72% since May is rough. I'd at least wait for a close over the 50ma instead of trying to catch a knife.
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
Gaeilge
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Would definitely wait for it to confirm some sort of macro reclaim. Just feel like it's being unfairly beaten up given their revenue and user growth. Even with AI concerns attached to it.
El_duderino
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I know nothing about the fundamentals, but technically it's putting in bullish divergence on the weekly so it could be turning around soon. Confirmation needed like you said
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
Heineken-Ashi
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SMCI is more likely to go much lower than to bottom any time soon.
BucketofBalls99
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El_duderino said:

AVGO entering the squeeze. Sizing smaller as I'm entering before direction confirmation. Stop is lower Bollinger band.

I own AVGO. What are maybe you seeing it go to?
El_duderino
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It's a squeeze play, so I ride the wave until it loses steam. However, there is a gap fill level at $393.44 and I would be hard pressed not to take profit if it fires long and reaches that number. Would be a solid 4:1 r/r trade

Like stated though, it has not given confirmation of direction so I sized down in case it fires to the downside and I'm wrong.
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
Ragoo
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Still long crwv after the gap, sideways, fade?
$30,000 Millionaire
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If $SMCI can't move when everything else is going gang busters, that should tell you something.

I have a sell order sitting at $435 to short $SNDK. Have made good money both ways on silver. ZSL has 24 hour trading. Space and drones will be good - $ARCH, $ASTS, $KTOS.

Index measured move for SPX is 7200-7300. I expect we'll hit it, but then I think lights out.

I think market will be "good" through April and then it's going to suck with mid terms to work through.

And last but not least: va te faire foutre to a couple of you.
El_duderino
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I exited over $98. I full ported it in my aggressive account, so I took the 10% profit and went to cash.

Had I taken a normal sized position, I'd still be in the trade.
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
$30,000 Millionaire
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I'd like to see $CRWV hold the low 80s to confirm the higher high / higher low on a longer term swing trade. I think it sees both $85 and $105 ahead of earnings in about a month.

There is a gap around $70, but individual stocks don't fill gaps all the time.
$30,000 Millionaire
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This is a fascinating chart pattern. I don't recall seeing it like this all too often. No position, just curious what happens with it.

El_duderino
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What would you even consider that? A giant M pattern?
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
El_duderino
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Do you see a violent crash in SNDK after this run up? Yet another company, that does have revenue, but no profit has skyrocketed.

Thanks for popping in with some thoughts/charts
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
$30,000 Millionaire
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Needs more time to develop, but would appear to be the start of one.
krosch11
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That's a dragon pattern
El_duderino
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Looking for mean reversion to the 20ma?
“We don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”
$30,000 Millionaire
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El_duderino said:

Do you see a violent crash in SNDK after this run up? Yet another company, that does have revenue, but no profit has skyrocketed.

Thanks for popping in with some thoughts/charts

I honestly really don't know. There are so many factors at play now relative to AI demand that are just incredibly hard to predict. I do think the majority of the move has happened, but I think it was Bernstein that gave them a $580 price target, which is just wild. The stock has clearly re-rated. I've never meaningfully traded $SNDK because I always viewed it sort of as dead money. I don't have history for it, but it is really far away from it's 21 day, and I've noticed that when the RSI gets into the mid 80s and it's extended like this, it mean reverts.

I did notice this volume divergence relative to the push higher.

EliteZags
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Heineken-Ashi said:

Buying TLT. Stop below recent low. Target $97 - $102. Timeline = later this year and maybe into 2027. This is a position for cash that usually sits idle.


eh what the heck back in with new backdoor Roth contribution ammo, held 5 figures at points last year that got gradually drained into equities
EliteZags
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also grabbed 100 shares ZETA today
LMCane
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El_duderino said:

AMD with the triple outside bar on the weekly chart.

Fun fact-

on the David Spade podcast Terri Hatcher stated her father was a senior executive at AMD Advanced Micro Devices in Sunnyvale California.

Touchless
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

If $SMCI can't move when everything else is going gang busters, that should tell you something.

I have a sell order sitting at $435 to short $SNDK. Have made good money both ways on silver. ZSL has 24 hour trading. Space and drones will be good - $ARCH, $ASTS, $KTOS.

Index measured move for SPX is 7200-7300. I expect we'll hit it, but then I think lights out.

I think market will be "good" through April and then it's going to suck with mid terms to work through.

And last but not least: va te faire foutre to a couple of you.

I assume you ended up getting filled on SNDK this morning?
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