US has most progressive tax system in developed world

3,304 Views | 50 Replies | Last: 9 days ago by aggie93
Yukon Cornelius
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AG
aggie93 said:

BusterAg said:

YouBet said:

And it's only getting worse even under Trump with his idiotic no tax on tips or overtime.

Can you help me with this logic?

How does a tax break on manual labor overtime and waitresses make the US tax system MORE progressive?

It lowers taxes further on people who barely pay any taxes now. Their perception is they are paying a lot but it's a pittance compared to someone who makes $300k proportionately. It's populism so that's on brand for Trump and I get it, most people have no clue about economics and they have little understanding of how insane our tax code is. If you are a family of 4 making $75-100k you pay virtually nothing in income taxes, it's possible you actually get more money back depending on how you have your deductions and pay structured. This will make that even more extreme.

The problem is it detaches taxation from a majority of the populace as being nothing or next to nothing to them. Thus they have no skin in the game. Add in some media and pols saying "The rich don't pay their fair share" and it only gets worse. The assumption becomes that the guy who makes $300k also pays almost nothing when in reality they are paying a massive tax bill that is often more than their mortgage and car combined. We don't educate people though so the ignorance only builds and populists will take the easy path of making more people who pay almost no taxes and increasing taxes on the people who do because there aren't enough of them to vote against you. Then you layer on stuff like how the truly rich are able to avoid taxes through things like borrowing against equity and a ton of other methods yet the politicians talk about those people as though raising income taxes is about sticking it to them when they pay almost nothing. The current system absolutely hammers the upper middle class, especially W-2 employees, at a ridiculously disproportionate level.

The solution is to get rid of income taxes and have a consumption tax and tariffs with exceptions for staple goods and housing. You can send citizens a rebate every year as well so it can make it so that essentially anyone at the low end pays effectively nothing. This makes administration far simpler and makes it so that everyone has skin in the game for the most part. The current system is incredibly inefficient. A consumption tax with no income tax would result in far more revenue and solve so many issues.

Of course the truth is that none of this has to do with fairness or revenue collection, it's about power. There is no single thing that gives the government more power over you than the tax code and the ability to manipulate it with incentives and disincentives to force you to act as they want and to control you.


One of the best posts I've ever read.
YouBet
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halfastros81 said:

This is where I'm at but once the RMD's kick in in 6 yrs I'm going to get slayed by the tax man again. Medicare is also fleecing me to the tune of over $ 700 per month.

The disincentive to be productive is ridiculous.


Fascinating. I have to admit I've never actually looked in detail at Medicare costs to the participant because I'm not there yet. I've only ever looked at this from the POV of a taxpayer. And then my parents have shared with me in passing that they don't pay anything for it, so now that I've researched they are clearly just talking about Part A (Hospital). I"m going to ask them further because I can't imagine they are just using Part A.

I assume this $700 is Part B, Part C and/or Part D? Just kind of a lightbulb moment for me to realize that the left wants "Medicare For All" (aka UHC), but even with all of the taxes we pay on it throughout our career once you start using it you are still paying premiums. So, if we do what the Democrats want you will take a massive tax increase during your working years to cover the estimated trillions per year to cover the country and then have to continue paying until you are dead once you start actually using it....especially if you aren't low income because it's means tested.
Fightin_Aggie
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YouBet said:

And it's only getting worse even under Trump with his idiotic no tax on tips or overtime.

I don't have a problem with the no tax on tips. Biggest portion of tip wage workers are working and are early in their careers

Don't forget no tax on overtime
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MemphisAg1
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YouBet said:

halfastros81 said:

This is where I'm at but once the RMD's kick in in 6 yrs I'm going to get slayed by the tax man again. Medicare is also fleecing me to the tune of over $ 700 per month.

The disincentive to be productive is ridiculous.


Fascinating. I have to admit I've never actually looked in detail at Medicare costs to the participant because I'm not there yet. I've only ever looked at this from the POV of a taxpayer. And then my parents have shared with me in passing that they don't pay anything for it, so now that I've researched they are clearly just talking about Part A (Hospital). I"m going to ask them further because I can't imagine they are just using Part A.

I assume this $700 is Part B, Part C and/or Part D? Just kind of a lightbulb moment for me to realize that the left wants "Medicare For All" (aka UHC), but even with all of the taxes we pay on it throughout our career once you start using it you are still paying premiums. So, if we do what the Democrats want you will take a massive tax increase during your working years to cover the estimated trillions per year to cover the country and then have to continue paying until you are dead once you start actually using it....especially if you aren't low income because it's means tested.

I'm just a few years out so I've been dialing into it recently.

Part A (hospital coverage) is free if you have history of 40 work quarters.

Part B (medical coverage) depends on your MAGI. Annual premiums for a retired couple:
-- $4.9k if MAGI <$218k
-- $16.5k if MAGI >$750k
-- with increments in between those two extremes, and it's a steep adjuster
-- for example, that $4.9k doubles if MAGI is between $274k-$342k

Part D (prescription drugs) costs much less than Part B.

It was a surprise to me. You go thru life as a younger person and think of Medicare as "free" since they tax you for it your entire life, only to realize you've got to pay premiums, and they are higher if you invested instead of spent every nickel over your younger years.
Mr.Milkshake
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This isn't the good news you think it is. The wealthiest countries have the most progressive tax systems…..?
YouBet
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So, if I was on Medicare right now I would pay a minimum of $408 per month. I guess in my head this whole time I thought Medicare taxes covered the basics via taxes and you were free and clear once you qualified. I was aware of the separate private supplements that cost money although not the particulars of their coverage (still really not on the particulars).

Man, this is not shaping up to be the utopian free for all that Democrats have sold me. I'm really surprised by this. Not.
MemphisAg1
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YouBet said:

So, if I was on Medicare right now I would pay a minimum of $408 per month. I guess in my head this whole time I thought Medicare taxes covered the basics via taxes and you were free and clear once you qualified. I was aware of the separate private supplements that cost money although not the particulars of their coverage (still really not on the particulars).

Man, this is not shaping up to be the utopian free for all that Democrats have sold me. I'm really surprised by this. Not.

Plus your premium for part D which can easily be $100/month or more for a couple.
YouBet
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Yes, so $500-600 per month minimum for health insurance that I already spent my entire working career paying for. What a f'ing deal!

I actually will have to update my forward financial projections for costs because I simply was not aware of this.
BusterAg
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YouBet said:

BusterAg said:

YouBet said:

And it's only getting worse even under Trump with his idiotic no tax on tips or overtime.

Can you help me with this logic?

How does a tax break on manual labor overtime and waitresses make the US tax system MORE progressive?


These people are generally at the bottom of the top half of actual tax payers which means some of them likely tip into the bottom half of non-tax payers with this policy. I have no idea what that number is but it's just more incrementalism towards reducing the number of net tax payers in this country thereby shifting more of the burden to fewer people.

And then the Democrats, after the fact, came out and said they support and actually want to expand this policy so that even more people get off the tax rolls - we know why that is.

Under your logic, the only tax breaks that are not progressive are tax breaks on the top 20% of earners in the US.

Count me out as a person who doesn't want to provide tax breaks to the working class.
BusterAg
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aggie93 said:

BusterAg said:

YouBet said:

And it's only getting worse even under Trump with his idiotic no tax on tips or overtime.

Can you help me with this logic?

How does a tax break on manual labor overtime and waitresses make the US tax system MORE progressive?

It lowers taxes further on people who barely pay any taxes now. Their perception is they are paying a lot but it's a pittance compared to someone who makes $300k proportionately. It's populism so that's on brand for Trump and I get it, most people have no clue about economics and they have little understanding of how insane our tax code is. If you are a family of 4 making $75-100k you pay virtually nothing in income taxes, it's possible you actually get more money back depending on how you have your deductions and pay structured. This will make that even more extreme.

The problem is it detaches taxation from a majority of the populace as being nothing or next to nothing to them. Thus they have no skin in the game. Add in some media and pols saying "The rich don't pay their fair share" and it only gets worse. The assumption becomes that the guy who makes $300k also pays almost nothing when in reality they are paying a massive tax bill that is often more than their mortgage and car combined. We don't educate people though so the ignorance only builds and populists will take the easy path of making more people who pay almost no taxes and increasing taxes on the people who do because there aren't enough of them to vote against you. Then you layer on stuff like how the truly rich are able to avoid taxes through things like borrowing against equity and a ton of other methods yet the politicians talk about those people as though raising income taxes is about sticking it to them when they pay almost nothing. The current system absolutely hammers the upper middle class, especially W-2 employees, at a ridiculously disproportionate level.

The solution is to get rid of income taxes and have a consumption tax and tariffs with exceptions for staple goods and housing. You can send citizens a rebate every year as well so it can make it so that essentially anyone at the low end pays effectively nothing. This makes administration far simpler and makes it so that everyone has skin in the game for the most part. The current system is incredibly inefficient. A consumption tax with no income tax would result in far more revenue and solve so many issues.

Of course the truth is that none of this has to do with fairness or revenue collection, it's about power. There is no single thing that gives the government more power over you than the tax code and the ability to manipulate it with incentives and disincentives to force you to act as they want and to control you.

I can, in some ways, respect this opinion.

But I believe that this type of analysis ignores a reality.

These people that pay very little income tax probably have an overall tax burden that is higher as a percentage of their income than top earners, precisely BECAUSE the majority of the taxes that they pay are consumption and other taxes.

Almost all of the analyses that I see that say that tax breaks for lower tax brackets are progressive fail to even attempt to look at the percentage of total taxes people pay compared to their income in those income ranges. They isolating income taxes, ignoring consumption taxes in the analysis, to say that the income tax is progressive, and then use that analysis to advocate for a universal consumption tax, which is obviously less progressive than any type of reasonable income tax scheme.

Don't be surprised if I call such an analysis specious. It's not properly looking at holistic tax policy at the margin, which you attempt to be doing when you argue about the relative tax burden paid for by a waitress compared to a CEO.
halfastros81
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I think the typical Medicare "recipient " pays around $200 a month for Part B. If you made "too much money according to the Feds " in your final years of working they have what they call an IRMAA adjustment that is tiered based on your income so that's where the extra $500 + dollars comes from for me. Once my income drops after retirement you can appeal and they'll drop the premium back to the $200 level but as I understand it it may take a few years of established lower retirement income before they do so. So essentially I'm paying premiums for 3+ other average income people for my first 2 yrs of retirement. This was all news to me. Even when I signed up for Medicare the rep told me my premium was going to be $187 a month (2025) and I didn't know about the IRMAA adjustment until I got a letter from SS admin several months later.

Then, once my RMD (required minimum distributions) from my Traditional IRA kick in at 73 my income will go back up and I'll again have to resume paying the IRMAA adjustment again. If you put a portion of your retirement savings into a Roth IRA that is not subject to RMD's since you already take the tax hit up front fyi.

It really is a case of being pummeled for taking care of business ( having a high paying job and saving for retirement). It's 100% progressive taxation and it extends well beyond your working years.


aggie93
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BusterAg said:

aggie93 said:

BusterAg said:

YouBet said:

And it's only getting worse even under Trump with his idiotic no tax on tips or overtime.

Can you help me with this logic?

How does a tax break on manual labor overtime and waitresses make the US tax system MORE progressive?

It lowers taxes further on people who barely pay any taxes now. Their perception is they are paying a lot but it's a pittance compared to someone who makes $300k proportionately. It's populism so that's on brand for Trump and I get it, most people have no clue about economics and they have little understanding of how insane our tax code is. If you are a family of 4 making $75-100k you pay virtually nothing in income taxes, it's possible you actually get more money back depending on how you have your deductions and pay structured. This will make that even more extreme.

The problem is it detaches taxation from a majority of the populace as being nothing or next to nothing to them. Thus they have no skin in the game. Add in some media and pols saying "The rich don't pay their fair share" and it only gets worse. The assumption becomes that the guy who makes $300k also pays almost nothing when in reality they are paying a massive tax bill that is often more than their mortgage and car combined. We don't educate people though so the ignorance only builds and populists will take the easy path of making more people who pay almost no taxes and increasing taxes on the people who do because there aren't enough of them to vote against you. Then you layer on stuff like how the truly rich are able to avoid taxes through things like borrowing against equity and a ton of other methods yet the politicians talk about those people as though raising income taxes is about sticking it to them when they pay almost nothing. The current system absolutely hammers the upper middle class, especially W-2 employees, at a ridiculously disproportionate level.

The solution is to get rid of income taxes and have a consumption tax and tariffs with exceptions for staple goods and housing. You can send citizens a rebate every year as well so it can make it so that essentially anyone at the low end pays effectively nothing. This makes administration far simpler and makes it so that everyone has skin in the game for the most part. The current system is incredibly inefficient. A consumption tax with no income tax would result in far more revenue and solve so many issues.

Of course the truth is that none of this has to do with fairness or revenue collection, it's about power. There is no single thing that gives the government more power over you than the tax code and the ability to manipulate it with incentives and disincentives to force you to act as they want and to control you.

I can, in some ways, respect this opinion.

But I believe that this type of analysis ignores a reality.

These people that pay very little income tax probably have an overall tax burden that is higher as a percentage of their income than top earners, precisely BECAUSE the majority of the taxes that they pay are consumption and other taxes.

Almost all of the analyses that I see that say that tax breaks for lower tax brackets are progressive fail to even attempt to look at the percentage of total taxes people pay compared to their income in those income ranges. They isolating income taxes, ignoring consumption taxes in the analysis, to say that the income tax is progressive, and then use that analysis to advocate for a universal consumption tax, which is obviously less progressive than any type of reasonable income tax scheme.

Don't be surprised if I call such an analysis specious. It's not properly looking at holistic tax policy at the margin, which you attempt to be doing when you argue about the relative tax burden paid for by a waitress compared to a CEO.

The topic was about income taxes so I focused on that. However since you are talking about all taxes....

Most Federal taxes a low income earner pays are SS and Medicare taxes. I'm all for reforming those as well but that's much messier because of how badly those programs are structured and the fact people understand those programs even less than income taxes (such as how all the money just goes in the General fund anyway and there is no actual fund, it's just revenue) and they are Entitlement programs that have a litany of other issues. I don't think you can address both those taxes and Income taxes at the same time outside of an intellectual discussion.

Consumption taxes currently are almost exclusively State and Local with a few exceptions (Federal Gas Tax for instance). I did address the inequality issue you brought up though because any VAT/Sales/Consumption tax plan that has been brought forth has 2 things on that. First it has exceptions for staple items such as groceries. Second it would have a rebate for every Citizen that would be the equivalent of the amount of taxes they pay assuming they made up to a certain amount based on spending patterns. For instance averaging the amount of money someone would pay annually if they make $50k and sending everyone a check for that amount. That way the lower income folks get relief but the government also has no need to know how much money people make or to have power over them based on that. It also treats money equally. If you are paid in a tax advantaged way or have a business or equities that allow you to avoid income taxes you can't avoid consumption taxes unless you simply don't buy anything.

The best tax system is a simple and flat amount at a low enough level that it has minimal impact on buying behavior. A relatively low consumption tax accomplishes that. No one wants to pay taxes but people just accept when you buy something now you have to add on a percentage already so an increase in that amount wouldn't be that traumatic. It would make sure that people can't avoid it though by creative accounting and so long as the amount isn't so high it creates a black market you will have a big increase in economic activity that both creates revenue and jobs and commerce (thus less need for governmental assistance).

BTW, most CEO's can't avoid taxes unless they have massive equity that they have already earned (they pay tax when they earn it or cash it out). Who does avoid taxes though are people with significant equities and assets because they can borrow against those equities at a very low interest rate and technically make no income and thus avoid tax, it's a tried and true strategy. The thing is you have to have enough equities and assets to pull that off and only the truly wealthy can for the most part. Usually it isn't even them who benefits but their children who are trust fund babies. Those folks couldn't care less what the tax rate is because they are able to avoid taxes with this method, many don't even know how it works they just have an accountant and attorney that their parent set up to take care of it for them. That's why so many of the truly wealthy are liberals. It also is how you end up with stories about how "Super rich guy pays no taxes! The rich must pay their share!" yet the way they want to do it is by raising taxes on income which is paid by the Upper Middle Class on W2 primarily. The only way to get the truly rich to pay those taxes is by a consumption tax so when they spend their money they pay.

I don't want additional burdens on the lower income folks who are trying to get by but I've already addressed how that gets fixed. The people who get abused in our current system are higher W2 income earners without enough assets to live off borrowing against them, mainly because they are in a chicken and egg issue of trying to grow equity when their income is taxed at such a high rate they can't accumulate it. They also lose basically all deductions and have to pay a premium for everything (such as health care and college tuition for their children which are usually means tested).
YouBet
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BusterAg said:

YouBet said:

BusterAg said:

YouBet said:

And it's only getting worse even under Trump with his idiotic no tax on tips or overtime.

Can you help me with this logic?

How does a tax break on manual labor overtime and waitresses make the US tax system MORE progressive?


These people are generally at the bottom of the top half of actual tax payers which means some of them likely tip into the bottom half of non-tax payers with this policy. I have no idea what that number is but it's just more incrementalism towards reducing the number of net tax payers in this country thereby shifting more of the burden to fewer people.

And then the Democrats, after the fact, came out and said they support and actually want to expand this policy so that even more people get off the tax rolls - we know why that is.

Under your logic, the only tax breaks that are not progressive are tax breaks on the top 20% of earners in the US.

Count me out as a person who doesn't want to provide tax breaks to the working class.

My reading comprehension may be malfunctioning today because I don't understand what you are saying here and it seems to contradict your next post to aggie93. Again, I may not be reading this right though.

I'm not sure who you mean by working class. The Democrats typically use low income and Working Class interchangeably which is a typical misnomer employed by the Dems to erroneously define something.

If you are defining Working Class like the Dems do, then you are saying you don't want the lower half to get any tax breaks which I would agree with. My entire point in this is that if you are not a net income taxpayer, then you should get no say on how money is spent. That person has zero incentive to spend responsibly.
BusterAg
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1) If a significant amount of your income comes from overtime, you are likely working class. If a significant amount of your income comes from tips, you are either working class or part of the "working" class, if you know what I mean (or, possibly, both, unless you are really hot).

2) My entire point is that if you are going to say that only tax payers should have a say on how that money is spent, then focusing on income taxes as opposed to total taxes is specious. Federalism is a complicated system. One of the reasons why standard deductions in income taxes exist is in recognition of the fact that there are so many excise and consumption taxes already, and there should be a way to avoid paying those taxes twice.

The federal income tax system is way more progressive than the totality of the US tax system. People on both sides of this argument like to play games with that. Those games are not helpful.

A person that makes just enough money to pay $100 in FIT almost certainly has a higher total tax rate vs income (once you factor in things like sales tax, property tax (whether or not that is paid for in your rent or directly), excise tax (like the ~0.40 per gallon for gas), etc. than a person who makes just enough to duck under the AMT if you include all of the tax shelters and loopholes available to that person.

If you are going to appeal to equity and who is carrying the tax burden for this country, then focusing on FIT is specious.
BusterAg
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aggie93 said:

The best tax system is a simple and flat amount at a low enough level that it has minimal impact on buying behavior. A relatively low consumption tax accomplishes that.

Thanks for the long clarification. I guess my major point is that most people that rail about low income taxes or no income taxes for the poor are primarily trying to argue the above point. The above point is a good point. I don't really disagree with you here.

But, focusing only on FIT when talking about who pays how much tax burden in this country to argue for a flat tax is intellectually dishonest. There are plenty of better arguments to make without playing 3-card monte.
aggie93
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BusterAg said:

aggie93 said:

The best tax system is a simple and flat amount at a low enough level that it has minimal impact on buying behavior. A relatively low consumption tax accomplishes that.

Thanks for the long clarification. I guess my major point is that most people that rail about low income taxes or no income taxes for the poor are primarily trying to argue the above point. The above point is a good point. I don't really disagree with you here.

But, focusing only on FIT when talking about who pays how much tax burden in this country to argue for a flat tax is intellectually dishonest. There are plenty of better arguments to make without playing 3-card monte.

Sure, and I'm happy to look at the overall tax system in an intellectual argument. Politically though if you are talking about changing SS and Medicare at the same time as FIT that's a much more complex discussion. In the end it SHOULD be about revenue but our tax system isn't about revenue it's about power and controlling behavior.

For SS and Medicare the best solution is total reform of both. Having the tax sets up an expectation of a pension which is good and bad, at least there is "skin in the game" but of course it is a ponzi scheme. Very hard to unrap 90 years of bad policy though.

Still the end solution for that and for other taxes paid is the rebate system I discussed. You have to get the government out of means testing and having the power to reward or penalize people based on income, it's an incredible encroachment on freedom, it's inefficient as hell, and it is rife with abuse because the main driver is social justice not revenue collection and inevitably politicians will manipulate it for their own gains. A rebate is the cleanest way to fix that, essentially everyone gets a check so your first "X amount" of income is untaxed effectively. Of course you have to still decide on the level of tax and the amount of the rebate but that's a lot better than the current system. As it stands people pay consumption taxes, SS and Medicare tax, and FIT and others as well. Thus bad behavior on all fronts is encouraged to manipulate the system at both the political level and the individual level for personal benefit.

You just have to step back and look at the larger picture without preconceived notions.
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