*****Official Selection Show Thread*****

54,063 Views | 444 Replies | Last: 14 days ago by caleblyn
AB2
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I think the worst case scenario for us is…

Mid-double digit seed paired with long trip to one of the few teams built to win in Omaha.
2 seed with 40+ wins and very high RPI
3 seed who won't be intimidated by Olsen
4 seed whose best healthy starter is as good or better than our best healthy starter.

If so, I'd appreciate the committee throwing us some prophylactic before the selection show - instead of during the reveal. But I'll have my popcorn ready either way. The meltdown and everything around it would be on brand.
AB2
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4-4 against those, if you take care of business elsewhere, is host worthy. Not Top 8 worthy most years.

Screams you're a good team, not a great one, and need to be executing at a high level in the postseason to make noise.
agsalaska
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TAMU1990
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Somewhere between 10-14 is what I think will happen, and 10 may be too generous. Brauny's tone this morning has me wary.
Luke The Drifter
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Agreed. Every metric shows that we are capable of being really good, but equally capable of having a turd of a weekend. That'll get you a host spot, but not a national seed.

Throw in our terrible non-conference strength of schedule and the egg we laid in Hoover, and our post-season resume is not among the elite.
But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
oldarmyag95
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pair us with anyone but Auburn
MagnumLoad
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Still, it does not seem rational to seed any sec team above us that we finished above in the sec regular season. As Olin said, why play the Fing season?
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MagnumLoad
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Who is more worthy of the 8 spot? Certainly not a big 12 team.
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Luke The Drifter
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MagnumLoad said:

Still, it does not seem rational to seed any sec team above us that we finished above in the sec regular season. As Olin said, why play the Fing season?


Because those teams played a tougher non-conference slate and/or had a better conference tourney showing and/or didn't rely on Mizzou to prop up their SEC win total, etc.
But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
Luke The Drifter
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Plus, we had no marquee non-conference wins. Best teams we beat out of the league were Virginia Tech, Arizona State, Lamar, and Texas State. Those teams are good, but certainly not great.
But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
MagnumLoad
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Some of them got swept by a crappy team. Also non conf does not affect conf standing. All non conf are generally weaker teams. And one sec team got swept by a non conf nobody.
I hate tu. It's in my blood.
ensign_beedrill
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trouble said:

I think that's very possible.

I mean the Rob Childress bowl is a very intriguing matchup.
Luke The Drifter
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If - and this is a big IF - the committee does their job properly, they'll look at a 50-something game body of work to seed the teams. We'll see if they do that or simply cherry pick the data points they want to use.
But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
ensign_beedrill
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Luigi Vampa said:

amercer said:

Of course the draw is important, and I'd love to see us with the chance to host a SR, but what are the realistic expectations here? We seem to be a good, but flawed, team who struggled a bit down the stretch (albeit against top competition)


Last time I checked, we were pretty dang good about winning 2/3 over the course of the season which is what you need to win a regional. Wins dont need to be pretty if you can score 10 runs most games!

Plus best guess is we SHOULD be getting back our best pitcher which is the primary cause for our struggles down the stretch.

You need to win at least 3 games to win a regional. That will be the hard part. I believe we have to win three in a row, otherwise we'll be playing more games in the losers' bracket and we do not have the pitching for that.

If we make it out of the regional, then we'll have to win 2/3 in the super and I think we can do that against most teams with our offense.
5Amp
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7 or 8th seed is my call.
ensign_beedrill
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MagnumLoad said:

Still, it does not seem rational to seed any sec team above us that we finished above in the sec regular season. As Olin said, why play the Fing season?

Finished above in the standings? Perfectly reasonable. Not every SEC team plays the same schedule.

Won the head-to-head against? Unreasonable. The results are right there. And we won the head-to-head against Florida in Gainesville.
chap
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Ag for Life
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ensign_beedrill
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Meh no surprise.
RED AG 98
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AB2 said:

I think the worst case scenario for us is…

Mid-double digit seed paired with long trip to one of the few teams built to win in Omaha.
2 seed with 40+ wins and very high RPI
3 seed who won't be intimidated by Olsen
4 seed whose best healthy starter is as good or better than our best healthy starter.

If so, I'd appreciate the committee throwing us some prophylactic before the selection show - instead of during the reveal. But I'll have my popcorn ready either way. The meltdown and everything around it would be on brand.

Yep, worst case scenario is a 4 with an ace and an offense with some pop. We want to be in the winner's bracket, and we want to pitch Sims game 2. This team is not constructed to climb out of the loser's bracket. Of course we can, it's just a much more difficult path for this roster. Hopefully our bats are bopping.
trouble
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I'll try to post each regional but I'll know I usually screw something up. Where's twk to correct me?
agsalaska
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Put Tarleton anywhere but College Station please.
agsalaska
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Does this start at 11 or 12? My ESPN app on Roku is saying 12:00


Never mind I found it.
Charpie
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Its on ESPN
Jessy255
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BTHO Committee
AggieBB
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agsalaska said:

Does this start at 11 or 12? My ESPN app on Roku is saying 12:00

That's what I thought too. Saw this thread and came in from mowing to see first take on espn2
missinAggieland
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agsalaska said:

Does this start at 11 or 12? My ESPN app on Roku is saying 12:00


Starting now
dabo man
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STARTING ON ESPN
NOT ESPN2
LeftyAg89
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it's on ESPN now
ensign_beedrill
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Can't find the selection show. Just underage boys' soccer. What is this???
histag10
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I have ESPN2 on, but its First Take, not the selection show...
RED AG 98
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Only one that isn't straight by the metrics is Auburn. UNC has a little beef but Auburn's #1 SOS and record vs tourney teams is absurd.
missinAggieland
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ESPN for selection show
RED AG 98
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histag10 said:

I have ESPN2 on, but its First Take, not the selection show...

real ESPN. Not deuce.
trouble
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I went with their own tweet info!
 
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