***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

9,206,502 Views | 52348 Replies | Last: 6 hrs ago by AlaskanAg99
txags92
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lb3 said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

aginresearch said:

The article says distributor almost every time. The article never directly says Ubiquiti. You know why? Because if it did it would be false and then the publisher would be liable.

They've found Raspberry PI 4 in Russian drones. Is the Raspberry Pi foundation selling equipment to Russia?

I bet you'd find some of your own company's equipment somewhere in the Russian military network. Doesn't mean you sold it to them.


You keep posting like Ubiquiti has no responsibility here because its distributors are the ones making illegal sales, but that doesn't make it true. Ubiquiti's compliance obligations involve screening its distributors for proper EAR adherence. They are supposed to be reviewing their policies, practices, transactions, and customer lists and ensuring they are only partnering with distributors who are compliant and abide by export controls. Making no attempt to identify a shady distributor who is making illegal resales or re-exports is no different than making no attempt to identify a shady end user illegally using your product. There is no difference between, "You knew what they were doing," and, "You could have known what they were doing but didn't bother to check," as far as EAR is concerned.

In this case, Ubiquiti does not seem to be doing their due diligence with their distributors, and not knowing who their distributors were selling to or how their products were being re-exported is not an excuse because they didn't bother to ask and verify. Just because Ubiquiti wasn't a part of the sale does not absolve them of responsibility and liability.

I hope your company isn't selling gear on NewEgg because I can assure you the Russian Mafia in the US is shipping sanctioned hardware overseas.

Not knowing where it is going is not the same as not asking. They have to at least show they made an effort to find out who the end users are, even if it was ultimately ineffective at stopping it from getting to Russia. Not being able to show they made the token effort will be a big problem for them.
Waffledynamics
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Russia is inching closer to Zaporizhzhia

74OA
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From the latest daily ISW report:

"Russian forces' months of strikes have significantly degraded and damaged the Ukrainian energy grid, which is now facing significant problems even during the moratorium on Russian strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure. Ukraine's power grid suffered a significant shutdown of the 400-kilowatt (kW) line between the Romanian and Moldovan power systems and the 750-kW line between western and central Ukraine on the morning of January 31. Ukrainian Energy Minister Denys Shmyhal reported on January 31 that the cause of the shutdown was an unspecified technological disruption, not a Russian strike."

ISW
74OA
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Russia drops a record number of bombs on Ukraine in January. Meanwhile, the ongoing destruction of Ukraine hardly makes the US news much anymore.

"President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in a January statement that Russian forces launched more than 6,000 attack drones, around 5,500 guided aerial bombs, and 158 missiles of various types against Ukraine during the month. He said the majority of these strikes targeted energy facilities, rail infrastructure, and transportation networks supporting daily life across the country."

DESTRUCTION
MaxPower
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74OA said:

Russia drops a record number of bombs on Ukraine in January. Meanwhile, the ongoing destruction of Ukraine hardly makes the US news much anymore.

"President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in a January statement that Russian forces launched more than 6,000 attack drones, around 5,500 guided aerial bombs, and 158 missiles of various types against Ukraine during the month. He said the majority of these strikes targeted energy facilities, rail infrastructure, and transportation networks supporting daily life across the country."

DESTRUCTION
Don't worry, the Eurotrash will demand Russia give it all back. It'll happen any minute….
74OA
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Good news. Bad news.

"Good news for Ukraine: it looks increasingly likely that it will get its hands on European-made Meteor beyond-visual-range air-to-air missiles, a class of weapon that it badly needs to redress the balance against Russian fighter jets. Bad news: the Meteors would likely only be made available once Kyiv acquires Saab Gripen fighters, a plan that remains questionable, especially in terms of the timelines for when they might materialize."

PERHAPS
GAC06
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Not much point giving them Rafales and Gripens without a missile to counter Russian long range missiles but they're probably a couple years away from getting those jets if they ever get any at all
74OA
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Equally to the point, will Ukraine even exist as a free nation a few years from now?
74OA
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Europe continues to step up.

"Ukraine's war chest stands to get a vital cash injection after EU envoys agreed on a 90 billion Euro loan to finance Kyiv's defense against Russia, the Cypriot Council presidency said on Wednesday."

LOAN
74OA
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Necessity is the mother of invention.

"New footage has emerged showing how Ukraine is using at least one adapted Antonov An-28 Cash twin-turboprop utility aircraft as part of its anti-drone inventory. While images of the aircraft, replete with multiple drone kill marks, had previously been published, we now get to see the aircraft's armament, a six-barrel Gatling-type M134 Minigun, in action, too."

HUNTING
2wealfth Man
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Breaking News:

'A senior Russian military figure, Lieutenant General Vladimir Alekseyev, was shot multiple times in Moscow by an unidentified attacker and rushed to hospital, officials say. Alekseyev the first deputy head of Russia's military intelligence (GRU) survived the shooting but remains injured as investigators pursue leads in the apparent assassination attempt. Russian authorities reported the assailant fled the scene, and the attack adds to a concerning trend of violent incidents involving high-ranking military officials since the Ukraine war began."

lb sand
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That's ashamed.gif
KentK93
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I wonder how many more scammers are making money off of the Ukraine war.
Quote:

A Utah man who misrepresented his business, Urban Armz, LLC, as a federal firearms licensee based in St. George, was sentenced to 24 months' imprisonment for financial fraud.
John Earl Donaldson, 32, of Saratoga Springs, Utah, pleaded guilty on May 19, 2025, to conspiracy to commit wire fraud and conspiracy to launder money.
Donaldson allegedly falsely represented to customers that his business could fulfill orders to help first responders in Ukrainian warzones. Instead, the defendant and his coconspirator spent the money on personal expenses.
In addition to Donaldson's term of imprisonment, U.S. District Court Judge Ann Marie McIff Allen sentenced Donaldson to three years of supervised release and ordered him to pay $591,932.73 jointly and severally with his codefendant.



https://townhall.com/tipsheet/scott-mcclallen/2026/02/06/utah-man-sentenced-for-stealing-funds-meant-to-aid-ukrainian-first-responders-n2670822
Gaeilge
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Obviously his apartment wasn't high enough for the preferred mode of disposal!
Rossticus
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Russians manage to die in the darnedest ways.
Waffledynamics
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twelve12twelve
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https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/02/07/8019863/



You don't even have to be logical when trying to get this American administration to the table, just throw around the word 'trillion' and you automatically get the ear of Trump even if your plan is untenable.


Orban talking like the Russian stooge we all pegged him to be. It is in the EU's interest to have this dude ousted and have snap elections IMO. This dude cannot be trusted.
MaxPower
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Gaeilge said:



Obviously his apartment wasn't high enough for the preferred mode of disposal!
I don't get why you'd want to get to a high level in the Russian government. Either Putin kills you or his inept security apparatus lets Ukrainian spies do it.
ABATTBQ11
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Russia is entering a banking crisis as their government fixed loans are coming due:

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/02/05/credit-bank-of-moscow-posts-rare-loss-as-bad-loans-surge-a91869

Bank profits are down, and MKB (Credit Back of Moscow, Russian seventh largest bank) posted a loss of $117 million in the fourth quarter. Overall bank profits are down, even after a recent recapitalization and cash injection from the state. The biggest issue is rushing loan defaults. 11% of corporate loans, many to defense and materials manufacturers, are no longer being paid, and banks are left holding bad debt that is centered around the government forcing manufacturers to support the war effort at a loss.

At some point, Russia will have to start printing money or bailing out their banks. It's not collapsing tomorrow, but they're in a really bad spot.
74OA
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Russia has been pirating Starlink for over two years. Musk has finally cut it off. The resulting operational disruption may give Ukraine a much-needed breather at a critical time in the war.

"According to reports from the front, the situation is close to critical," the Russian center added. "Over the two years of active Starlink deployment, almost all operational command and control (communication between units, fire coordination, and UAV data transmission) has been tied to the American satellite infrastructure. There has been no practical alternative comparable in stability and speed."

STARLINK
Sq 17
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Looks like winter will be letting up next week
Does the warmer weather appreciably change the situation other than less cold is definitely better for the civilian population
MaxPower
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The real question is why Musk ever allowed that to happen to begin with? It should be fairly easy to see where traffic is coming from and what it's used for. This has me thinking the Euros might be on to something with X if this type of reckless negligence is going on…..
DCPD158
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Sq 17 said:

Looks like winter will be letting up next week
Does the warmer weather appreciably change the situation other than less cold is definitely better for the civilian population

Winter ends and mud begins. Needs to dry out so April(ish) for anything major I would think.
Company I-1, Ord-Ords '85 -12thFan and Websider-
bonfarr
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MaxPower said:

The real question is why Musk ever allowed that to happen to begin with? It should be fairly easy to see where traffic is coming from and what it's used for. This has me thinking the Euros might be on to something with X if this type of reckless negligence is going on…..


Is it possible with Russians using Starlink he could pass along their communications to the NSA?
Disclaimer: Views expressed in this post reflect the opinions of Texags user bonfarr and are not to be accepted as facts or to be taken at face value.
74OA
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MaxPower said:

The real question is why Musk ever allowed that to happen to begin with? It should be fairly easy to see where traffic is coming from and what it's used for. This has me thinking the Euros might be on to something with X if this type of reckless negligence is going on…..

It's a fair question, IMO. Two years is a long time for corporate Starlink not to be aware of Russia's piracy.

The only upside is that the delay allowed Russia to apparently become very dependent on Starlink, so the sudden cutoff now is particularly disruptive.
Sq 17
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Thanks yes the thaw and mud is next
I am guessing the thaw and Mud slightly benefits the Ukes but mostly keeps the status quo for another couple of months
74OA
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Nice video of a F-16 using its cannon to take down a drone.

INTERCEPT
LMCane
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Preston Stewart came back from visiting the battlefield in Ukraine and has posted some cool video

74OA
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Europe continues to step up. Major EW systems delivery.

"First Contact and its German partner have completed the delivery of a full batch of FC.K, FC.KP, and FC.MP mobile electronic reconnaissance, direction-finding, and jamming systems to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. First Contact informed Militarnyi that the units received 70 mobile systems. They are designed to counter UAVs and other radio-electronic threats in the combat zone."

MOBILE
wildmen09
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USAF wx guy here. It makes it worse. The frozen tundra is trafficable by foot and likely through mechanized maneuver.

The mud stops all of that except on hardball roads.
AlaskanAg99
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Mud favors the defender. And with drones they should make a lot of headway in destroying slow moving everything.
aTm '99
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